Coast FIRE Calculator
Find the amount you need invested today so growth alone, with no further contributions, reaches a full retirement by the age you choose. Unlike most Coast FIRE calculators, this one lets you subtract an expected Social Security benefit or pension first, and works as a Coast FIRE calculator for couples too: switch to "Couple" below for a second age field.
By Joey van Diest, founder and editor Updated
Currency only relabels the amounts you enter, it does not convert between them: the calculation is the same arithmetic regardless of currency. If you switch away from USD, adjust the return and inflation assumptions to match that currency's own market and central bank target, the defaults here are US figures.
- Coast FIRE number
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- Status
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- Full FIRE number
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- Real return (after fees)
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Green: projected assets if you keep contributing. Amber: the minimum needed at that age to coast the rest of the way on growth alone. Where green crosses above amber, contributions stop being required.
How likely is this, really?
Monte Carlo, 500 runsThe chart above assumes the exact same return every single year. Real markets don't work that way. This runs 500 random sequences of annual returns, centered on your assumptions above, and shows the actual spread of outcomes rather than one clean line.
- Probability of coasting
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- 10th percentile
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- Median
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- 90th percentile
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The formula, and the one thing most calculators skip
FIRE number = (annual spending − Social Security / pension) ÷ safe withdrawal rate
Coast FIRE number = FIRE number ÷ (1 + real return)years to retirement
Real return is your entered investment return, adjusted for inflation, minus fund fees, so every number in the calculator stays in today's purchasing power rather than an inflated future figure that is hard to sanity-check. Almost no other adjustment moves a Coast FIRE calculation as much as this one, and it's the line nearly every free calculator leaves out entirely: if you expect real income from Social Security or a pension once you retire, your portfolio only has to cover what is left over, not your full spending.
A worked example: someone spending $60,000 a year in retirement who expects $20,000 from Social Security only needs their portfolio to cover $40,000. At a 4% safe withdrawal rate that is a FIRE number of $1,000,000, not $1,500,000. Over 25 years to retirement at a 7% real return, the Coast FIRE number, the amount that needs to be invested today, works out to roughly $184,000, a genuinely different answer than a calculator that ignores the benefit entirely.
Reading the coast line
The chart plots two numbers against your age between now and retirement. The green line is what your invested assets are projected to become if you keep contributing at the monthly amount you entered. The amber line is the minimum balance needed at that age for compounding alone to finish the job by retirement, and it rises the closer you get to retirement, because there is less time left for growth to do the work. Where the two lines cross is your projected coast date: the age at which continuing to contribute stops being mathematically necessary, even though plenty of people keep doing it anyway, for a bigger cushion or a more comfortable retirement than the bare minimum.
If your current invested assets already sit above the amber line's starting point, the status box above will tell you that you've already reached Coast FIRE, today, regardless of what happens to your monthly contributions from here. That is the entire appeal of the strategy: once you're past that line, changing jobs, dropping to part-time, or taking a pay cut for better work stops being a purely emotional decision and becomes one the math has already signed off on.
What Coast FIRE actually changes
The number this calculator produces is a floor, not a target. Reaching your Coast FIRE number does not obligate you to stop saving; it removes the requirement, which is a different thing. Most people who hit their Coast number keep contributing anyway, for a wider margin, an earlier retirement date, or a more comfortable spending level than the bare-bones figure the calculator assumes. What changes is leverage: a job change, a move to part-time work, or walking away from a role that's no longer worth the toll stops being a decision that risks retirement entirely, because retirement is already funded by money already invested, working on its own.
The assumptions that move this number most are the return rate and the withdrawal rate, in that order, so both are worth stress-testing rather than trusting the defaults as-is. Run the numbers again with a more conservative 3.25% withdrawal rate if your horizon runs past 40 years, and check the sensitivity of the whole calculation with the compounding calculator, which isolates exactly how much a lower assumed return stretches out the timeline. If inflation is the piece you're least sure about, the inflation calculator and the real wage calculator both work from the same official CPI data this site uses elsewhere, rather than a guess.
Frequently asked questions
- What is Coast FIRE?
- Coast FIRE represents the moment when the money you've already invested, left completely alone, will grow through compounding into a full traditional retirement, with no further contributions required. Reaching this milestone does not mean you stop working; it means your need to keep saving is eliminated, so a lower-paying, lower-stress, or part-time role becomes financially possible without pushing your retirement date back.
- How is this different from a regular FIRE calculator?
- A FIRE calculator asks how much you need invested to begin taking withdrawals now, or soon, to fund your living expenses. A Coast FIRE calculator asks a narrower question: how large an investment needs to be today so that growth alone, with no further contributions, reaches your full FIRE number by your desired retirement age. The Coast number is always smaller than the full FIRE number, since there are still years of compounding left to finish the job.
- Why does this calculator ask about Social Security or a pension?
- Leaving it out gives you a number that's larger than needed. If you expect $20,000 a year from Social Security or a pension starting at retirement, your portfolio only has to cover the difference between that amount and your full spending, not all of it. Several well-known Coast FIRE calculators skip this entirely and leave you to do the subtraction yourself; this one does it for you, which produces a genuinely smaller, more accurate Coast number for anyone who expects a pension or a reasonable Social Security benefit. If you'd rather build in extra margin, set this to $0 and treat your future benefit as a bonus.
- What about my mortgage?
- It isn't modeled as a separate line, on purpose, since payoff dates and remaining balances are so variable that there's no sensible default. The clean way to handle it: enter your annual spending as the number you expect to spend once the mortgage is gone, then run the calculator twice with two different spending figures, once for now and once after payoff, and read the more conservative of the two.
- Is a 4% withdrawal rate still safe for an early retirement?
- The 4% figure comes from William Bengen's 1994 study and the later Trinity Study, both built around a 30-year retirement horizon. Most planners now argue that a longer horizon, at least 50 years for early retirees, needs a more conservative rate to hold up, often 3.25% to 3.5%. This calculator defaults to 4% because it is the number everyone recognizes, but the safe withdrawal rate field is yours to lower for a longer runway.
- What return rate should I actually use?
- The calculator asks for a nominal investment return and an inflation rate separately, then subtracts both inflation and your entered fee drag to get a real return, rather than asking you to guess a single blended number. A common starting point is 10% nominal for a stock-heavy portfolio (roughly the long-run US market average before inflation) and 3% inflation, for a real return after fees of around 7%. A larger bond allocation, or the years right before retirement, typically justify a lower figure.
- What's the difference between Coast FIRE and Barista FIRE?
- Coast FIRE lets your investments stop needing contributions while you still cover your own living costs some other way, whether that's your current job, a new one, or something part-time. Barista FIRE specifically means covering costs through part-time or lower-stress work chosen for its benefits or flexibility; the term comes from taking a job like a barista role partly for the health insurance. Every Barista FIRE plan rests on a Coast FIRE number underneath it, so this calculator answers the number both strategies need.
- What does the Monte Carlo section add that the calculator above does not already show?
- The main calculator answers 'what does the plan imply if the same average return shows up every year.' Real returns don't work that way: in any given year you could see a loss of 20% or a gain of 30%, and the order those swings happen in matters. The Monte Carlo section runs 500 random sequences of annual returns around your same assumptions and reports how many of them actually reach the coast number, plus the spread between a lucky run and an unlucky one. A plan can look fine on the average-return line and still fail in a meaningful share of the 500 runs; that gap is the entire reason to check both.
- Does this work as a Coast FIRE calculator for couples?
- Switch "Household" to "Couple" and a second age field appears for your partner. Everything else, invested assets, contributions, spending, Social Security or pension, stays a single combined household figure, since that is how most couples actually track their money. The one number that changes behind the scenes is years to retirement: it counts down from the older partner's age, not the younger one's, because a joint portfolio only finishes compounding once both incomes are actually gone. Using the younger partner's age instead would understate what you actually need, handing you an over-optimistic Coast number.
Method and limitations
The main calculator is a closed-form projection: one fixed real return applied every year, no taxes. The Monte Carlo section draws each year's return from a normal distribution around that same real return and the volatility you enter, which is closer to how markets actually behave, but it still leaves out fat tails, crash clustering, and any correlation between one bad year and the next. It also does not yet replay real historical return sequences the way some more advanced calculators do; that mode needs a licensed historical-returns dataset baked into the site rather than a live feed, and is a planned addition, not a promise with a date. Treat both sections as models of the plan's math, not a forecast of what will actually happen, and stress-test the return and volatility assumptions rather than trusting the defaults.
Data sources
- William Bengen, "Determining Withdrawal Rates Using Historical Data" (1994) · origin of the 4% rule
- Trinity Study (Cooley, Hubbard, Walz, 1998) via Bogleheads wiki · safe withdrawal rate research, updated
This tool runs entirely in your browser. Nothing you enter is sent to us or stored.
For general information and education only. This is not financial advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. This tool is provided as is, with no warranty of accuracy: like any software it can contain errors, so always verify figures against your broker or the original source before acting on them. Trading and investing carry risk, including the risk of losing more than your initial outlay.
Spotted an error? Email [email protected] and it will be corrected. Maintained by Joey van Diest.