When Is the Next GDP Release?
The Bureau of Economic Analysis estimates the inflation-adjusted value of everything produced in the US, reported as a quarter-over-quarter annualized growth rate. Each quarter is estimated three times as more complete source data arrives.
By Joey van Diest, founder and editorUpdated
Next GDP release
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Each quarter gets three estimates (advance, second, third), typically at the end of the month, at 8:30 am ET; the advance estimate moves markets most.
Last release
- Actual
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- Forecast
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- Prior
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Unit: % (quarterly, annualized). Ten years of history.
What this release moves
GDP is the broadest scorecard of the economy, but it is also the most backward-looking of the majors, so the market reaction concentrates on the advance estimate, the first look at a quarter. Big surprises there can reprice growth expectations across bonds and equities; the second and third estimates usually pass quietly unless revisions are unusual.
Frequently asked questions
- Why does the US report GDP as an annualized rate?
- The quarterly change is compounded to a yearly pace, which makes quarters comparable to annual growth figures but also magnifies surprises: a 0.5% quarterly move reads as roughly 2% annualized. Most other countries quote the plain quarterly change, worth remembering in comparisons.
- Which GDP estimate matters most?
- The advance estimate, published about a month after the quarter ends, because it is the first official read and has the least consensus anchoring. Later estimates matter mainly when revisions change the story.
Method and limitations
Chart series: A191RL1Q225SBEA (real GDP, percent change from preceding period, seasonally adjusted annual rate), plotted as published. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
The countdown reads the same feed as our economic calendar and converts the scheduled time to your timezone; when the feed window does not yet include the next date, the typical schedule is shown instead of a guess. History values are official published figures and can differ from initial prints where agencies revise data.
This product uses the FRED® API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
Data sources
- FRED / U.S. government: A191RL1Q225SBEA — refreshed four times daily via our server cache
- Release timing from the Economicium economic calendar — countdown reflects the calendar feed; times shown in your local timezone
For general information and education only. This is not financial advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Trading and investing carry risk, including the risk of losing more than your initial outlay. Always verify figures against your broker or the original source before acting on them.
Spotted an error? Email[email protected]and it will be corrected. Maintained byJoey van Diest.